Honeywell Automation (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41019.70

HONAUT Stock   41,020  175.95  0.43%   
Honeywell Automation's future price is the expected price of Honeywell Automation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Honeywell Automation India performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Honeywell Automation Backtesting, Honeywell Automation Valuation, Honeywell Automation Correlation, Honeywell Automation Hype Analysis, Honeywell Automation Volatility, Honeywell Automation History as well as Honeywell Automation Performance.
  
Please specify Honeywell Automation's target price for which you would like Honeywell Automation odds to be computed.

Honeywell Automation Target Price Odds to finish over 41019.70

The tendency of Honeywell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41,020 90 days 41,020 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Honeywell Automation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Honeywell Automation India probability density function shows the probability of Honeywell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Honeywell Automation has a beta of 0.0462. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Honeywell Automation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Honeywell Automation India will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Honeywell Automation India has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Honeywell Automation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Honeywell Automation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Honeywell Automation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Honeywell Automation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40,73540,73645,122
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36,63436,63545,122
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42,33842,33942,341
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
182.50182.50182.50
Details

Honeywell Automation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Honeywell Automation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Honeywell Automation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Honeywell Automation India, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Honeywell Automation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
3,188
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Honeywell Automation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Honeywell Automation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Honeywell Automation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Honeywell Automation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Honeywell Automation Indias Stock Price Declines by -3.24 percent on November 13, 2024 - MarketsMojo

Honeywell Automation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Honeywell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Honeywell Automation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Honeywell Automation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.2 B

Honeywell Automation Technical Analysis

Honeywell Automation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Honeywell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Honeywell Automation India. In general, you should focus on analyzing Honeywell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Honeywell Automation Predictive Forecast Models

Honeywell Automation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Honeywell Automation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Honeywell Automation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Honeywell Automation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Honeywell Automation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Honeywell Automation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Honeywell Automation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Honeywell Automation Indias Stock Price Declines by -3.24 percent on November 13, 2024 - MarketsMojo

Other Information on Investing in Honeywell Stock

Honeywell Automation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Honeywell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Honeywell with respect to the benefits of owning Honeywell Automation security.