American Hotel Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.64
| HOT-U Stock | USD 0.34 0.15 30.61% |
American |
American Hotel Target Price Odds to finish over 22.64
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.64 or more in 90 days |
| 0.34 | 90 days | 22.64 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Hotel to move over $ 22.64 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This American Hotel Income probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Hotel Income price to stay between its current price of $ 0.34 and $ 22.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Hotel has a beta of 0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, American Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Hotel Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Hotel Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. American Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Hotel Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Hotel Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
American Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Hotel Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Hotel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| American Hotel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Hotel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 280.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.92 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: American Hotel Income Properties REIT LP Announces Extension of Its Revolving Credit Facility and Term Loans and Update on Property Dispositions - Yahoo Finance |
American Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 75.4 M |
American Hotel Technical Analysis
American Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Hotel Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
American Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Hotel Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Hotel Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Hotel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| American Hotel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Hotel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 280.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.92 M. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: American Hotel Income Properties REIT LP Announces Extension of Its Revolving Credit Facility and Term Loans and Update on Property Dispositions - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Hotel's price analysis, check to measure American Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of American Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.