RCS MediaGroup (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.08
| HPI2 Stock | EUR 0.82 0.01 1.23% |
RCS |
RCS MediaGroup Target Price Odds to finish over 5.08
The tendency of RCS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 5.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.82 | 90 days | 5.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RCS MediaGroup to move over € 5.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This RCS MediaGroup SpA probability density function shows the probability of RCS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RCS MediaGroup SpA price to stay between its current price of € 0.82 and € 5.08 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RCS MediaGroup has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, RCS MediaGroup average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RCS MediaGroup SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RCS MediaGroup SpA has an alpha of 0.1469, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RCS MediaGroup Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RCS MediaGroup
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RCS MediaGroup SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RCS MediaGroup Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RCS MediaGroup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RCS MediaGroup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RCS MediaGroup SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RCS MediaGroup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
RCS MediaGroup Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RCS MediaGroup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RCS MediaGroup SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RCS MediaGroup SpA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| RCS MediaGroup SpA has accumulated 240.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. RCS MediaGroup SpA has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RCS MediaGroup until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RCS MediaGroup's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RCS MediaGroup SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RCS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RCS MediaGroup's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 77.0% of RCS MediaGroup shares are held by company insiders |
RCS MediaGroup Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RCS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RCS MediaGroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RCS MediaGroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 517.4 M |
RCS MediaGroup Technical Analysis
RCS MediaGroup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RCS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RCS MediaGroup SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing RCS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RCS MediaGroup Predictive Forecast Models
RCS MediaGroup's time-series forecasting models is one of many RCS MediaGroup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RCS MediaGroup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RCS MediaGroup SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about RCS MediaGroup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RCS MediaGroup SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RCS MediaGroup SpA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| RCS MediaGroup SpA has accumulated 240.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. RCS MediaGroup SpA has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RCS MediaGroup until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RCS MediaGroup's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RCS MediaGroup SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RCS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RCS MediaGroup's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 77.0% of RCS MediaGroup shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in RCS Stock
RCS MediaGroup financial ratios help investors to determine whether RCS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RCS with respect to the benefits of owning RCS MediaGroup security.