Eagle Capital Appreciation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 59.57

HRCPX Fund  USD 60.69  0.03  0.05%   
Eagle Capital's future price is the expected price of Eagle Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eagle Capital Appreciation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eagle Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eagle Capital Correlation, Eagle Capital Hype Analysis, Eagle Capital Volatility, Eagle Capital History as well as Eagle Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Eagle Capital's target price for which you would like Eagle Capital odds to be computed.

Eagle Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 59.57

The tendency of Eagle Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 59.57  or more in 90 days
 60.69 90 days 59.57 
about 82.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eagle Capital to drop to $ 59.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.11 (This Eagle Capital Appreciation probability density function shows the probability of Eagle Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eagle Capital Apprec price to stay between $ 59.57  and its current price of $60.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eagle Capital has a beta of 0.0201. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Eagle Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eagle Capital Appreciation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eagle Capital Appreciation has an alpha of 0.13, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eagle Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eagle Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Capital Apprec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.6060.6961.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.6959.7860.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.5059.5960.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.6360.7961.95
Details

Eagle Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eagle Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eagle Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eagle Capital Appreciation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eagle Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Eagle Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eagle Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eagle Capital Apprec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Eagle Capital Technical Analysis

Eagle Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eagle Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eagle Capital Appreciation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eagle Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eagle Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Eagle Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eagle Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eagle Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eagle Capital Apprec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eagle Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eagle Capital Apprec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Eagle Mutual Fund

Eagle Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eagle Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eagle with respect to the benefits of owning Eagle Capital security.
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