HSBC Holdings (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 760.80

HSBA Stock   760.80  4.30  0.56%   
HSBC Holdings' future price is the expected price of HSBC Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HSBC Holdings PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HSBC Holdings Backtesting, HSBC Holdings Valuation, HSBC Holdings Correlation, HSBC Holdings Hype Analysis, HSBC Holdings Volatility, HSBC Holdings History as well as HSBC Holdings Performance.
  
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HSBC Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 760.80

The tendency of HSBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 760.80 90 days 760.80 
about 5.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HSBC Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.92 (This HSBC Holdings PLC probability density function shows the probability of HSBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HSBC Holdings PLC has a beta of -0.0691. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HSBC Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HSBC Holdings PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HSBC Holdings PLC has an alpha of 0.2334, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HSBC Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HSBC Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HSBC Holdings PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
758.80759.92761.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
653.95655.07836.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.330.34
Details

HSBC Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HSBC Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HSBC Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HSBC Holdings PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HSBC Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
36.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

HSBC Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HSBC Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HSBC Holdings PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HSBC Holdings PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: MML Investors Services LLC Lowers Stock Position in HSBC Holdings plc - MarketBeat

HSBC Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HSBC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HSBC Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HSBC Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments307 B

HSBC Holdings Technical Analysis

HSBC Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HSBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HSBC Holdings PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing HSBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HSBC Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

HSBC Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many HSBC Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HSBC Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HSBC Holdings PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about HSBC Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HSBC Holdings PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HSBC Holdings PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: MML Investors Services LLC Lowers Stock Position in HSBC Holdings plc - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for HSBC Stock Analysis

When running HSBC Holdings' price analysis, check to measure HSBC Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HSBC Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of HSBC Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HSBC Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HSBC Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HSBC Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.