Hoasen (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15041.08

HSG Stock   18,900  100.00  0.53%   
Hoasen's future price is the expected price of Hoasen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hoasen Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hoasen Backtesting, Hoasen Valuation, Hoasen Correlation, Hoasen Hype Analysis, Hoasen Volatility, Hoasen History as well as Hoasen Performance.
  
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Hoasen Target Price Odds to finish below 15041.08

The tendency of Hoasen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  15,041  or more in 90 days
 18,900 90 days 15,041 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hoasen to drop to  15,041  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hoasen Group probability density function shows the probability of Hoasen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hoasen Group price to stay between  15,041  and its current price of 18900.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hoasen has a beta of 0.093. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hoasen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hoasen Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hoasen Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hoasen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hoasen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoasen Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,89818,90018,902
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,43617,43820,790
Details

Hoasen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hoasen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hoasen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hoasen Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hoasen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
804.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Hoasen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hoasen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hoasen Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hoasen Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Hoasen Technical Analysis

Hoasen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hoasen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hoasen Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hoasen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hoasen Predictive Forecast Models

Hoasen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hoasen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hoasen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hoasen Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hoasen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hoasen Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hoasen Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hoasen Stock

Hoasen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hoasen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hoasen with respect to the benefits of owning Hoasen security.