Hershey Co Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 174.25
| HSY Stock | USD 174.95 0.95 0.55% |
Hershey |
Hershey Target Price Odds to finish below 174.25
The tendency of Hershey Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 174.25 or more in 90 days |
| 174.95 | 90 days | 174.25 | about 7.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hershey to drop to $ 174.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.74 (This Hershey Co probability density function shows the probability of Hershey Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hershey price to stay between $ 174.25 and its current price of $174.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.25 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hershey has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hershey average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hershey Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hershey Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hershey Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Hershey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hershey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hershey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hershey Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hershey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hershey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hershey Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hershey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Hershey Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hershey for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hershey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hershey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hershey Co has 5.13 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.69, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hershey has a current ratio of 0.78, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hershey to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 88.0% of Hershey shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Moran Wealth Management LLC Acquires 979 Shares of The Hershey Company |
Hershey Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hershey Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hershey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hershey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 401.9 M |
Hershey Technical Analysis
Hershey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hershey Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hershey Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hershey Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hershey Predictive Forecast Models
Hershey's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hershey's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hershey's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hershey
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hershey for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hershey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hershey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hershey Co has 5.13 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.69, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hershey has a current ratio of 0.78, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hershey to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 88.0% of Hershey shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Moran Wealth Management LLC Acquires 979 Shares of The Hershey Company |
Additional Tools for Hershey Stock Analysis
When running Hershey's price analysis, check to measure Hershey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hershey is operating at the current time. Most of Hershey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hershey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hershey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hershey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.