Huazhu Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.42
| HTHT Stock | USD 35.80 0.12 0.33% |
Huazhu |
Huazhu Target Price Odds to finish below 40.42
The tendency of Huazhu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 40.42 after 90 days |
| 35.80 | 90 days | 40.42 | about 89.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huazhu to stay under $ 40.42 after 90 days from now is about 89.56 (This Huazhu Group probability density function shows the probability of Huazhu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huazhu Group price to stay between its current price of $ 35.80 and $ 40.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Huazhu Group has a beta of -0.66. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Huazhu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Huazhu Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Huazhu Group has an alpha of 0.426, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Huazhu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Huazhu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huazhu Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Huazhu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huazhu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huazhu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huazhu Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huazhu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Huazhu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huazhu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huazhu Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Huazhu Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Huazhu Group currently holds 35.88 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.72, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Huazhu Group has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Huazhu's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Huazhu Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings |
Huazhu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huazhu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huazhu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huazhu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 335.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.1 B |
Huazhu Technical Analysis
Huazhu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huazhu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huazhu Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huazhu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Huazhu Predictive Forecast Models
Huazhu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huazhu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huazhu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Huazhu Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Huazhu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huazhu Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Huazhu Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Huazhu Group currently holds 35.88 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.72, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Huazhu Group has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Huazhu's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Huazhu Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings |
Additional Tools for Huazhu Stock Analysis
When running Huazhu's price analysis, check to measure Huazhu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huazhu is operating at the current time. Most of Huazhu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huazhu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huazhu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huazhu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.