Inversiones Aguas (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 690.79
| IAM Stock | CLP 735.00 0.05 0.01% |
Inversiones |
Inversiones Aguas Target Price Odds to finish below 690.79
The tendency of Inversiones Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 690.79 or more in 90 days |
| 735.00 | 90 days | 690.79 | about 15.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inversiones Aguas to drop to 690.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.15 (This Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas probability density function shows the probability of Inversiones Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inversiones Aguas price to stay between 690.79 and its current price of 735.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas has a beta of -0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inversiones Aguas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas has an alpha of 0.0641, implying that it can generate a 0.0641 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inversiones Aguas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inversiones Aguas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inversiones Aguas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inversiones Aguas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inversiones Aguas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inversiones Aguas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inversiones Aguas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Inversiones Aguas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inversiones Aguas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inversiones Aguas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inversiones Aguas has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas has accumulated 1.08 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 96.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Inversiones Aguas has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Inversiones Aguas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Inversiones Aguas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Inversiones Aguas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Inversiones to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Inversiones Aguas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 59.0% of Inversiones Aguas shares are held by company insiders |
Inversiones Aguas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inversiones Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inversiones Aguas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inversiones Aguas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1000 M |
Inversiones Aguas Technical Analysis
Inversiones Aguas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inversiones Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inversiones Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inversiones Aguas Predictive Forecast Models
Inversiones Aguas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inversiones Aguas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inversiones Aguas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inversiones Aguas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inversiones Aguas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inversiones Aguas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inversiones Aguas has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Inversiones Aguas Metropolitanas has accumulated 1.08 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 96.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Inversiones Aguas has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Inversiones Aguas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Inversiones Aguas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Inversiones Aguas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Inversiones to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Inversiones Aguas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 59.0% of Inversiones Aguas shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Inversiones Stock
Inversiones Aguas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inversiones Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inversiones with respect to the benefits of owning Inversiones Aguas security.