International Battery Metals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.39
| IBAT Stock | 0.28 0.02 6.67% |
International |
International Battery Target Price Odds to finish over 0.39
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.39 or more in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 0.39 | about 74.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Battery to move over 0.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This International Battery Metals probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Battery price to stay between its current price of 0.28 and 0.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, International Battery will likely underperform. Additionally International Battery Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. International Battery Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Battery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Battery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Battery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
International Battery Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Battery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Battery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Battery Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Battery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
International Battery Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Battery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Battery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Battery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| International Battery has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| International Battery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
International Battery Technical Analysis
International Battery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Battery Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Battery Predictive Forecast Models
International Battery's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Battery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Battery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Battery
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Battery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Battery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Battery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| International Battery has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| International Battery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis
When running International Battery's price analysis, check to measure International Battery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Battery is operating at the current time. Most of International Battery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Battery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Battery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Battery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.