Noble Financials (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 84.44
| IBS Stock | 86.20 0.20 0.23% |
Noble |
Noble Financials Target Price Odds to finish below 84.44
The tendency of Noble Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 84.44 or more in 90 days |
| 86.20 | 90 days | 84.44 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Noble Financials to drop to 84.44 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Noble Financials SA probability density function shows the probability of Noble Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Noble Financials price to stay between 84.44 and its current price of 86.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Noble Financials has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Noble Financials average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Noble Financials SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Noble Financials SA has an alpha of 0.0558, implying that it can generate a 0.0558 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Noble Financials Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Noble Financials
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Noble Financials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Noble Financials' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Noble Financials Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Noble Financials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Noble Financials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Noble Financials SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Noble Financials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Noble Financials Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Noble Financials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Noble Financials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Noble Financials had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Noble Financials generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Noble Financials Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Noble Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Noble Financials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Noble Financials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 386.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.9 M |
Noble Financials Technical Analysis
Noble Financials' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Noble Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Noble Financials SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Noble Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Noble Financials Predictive Forecast Models
Noble Financials' time-series forecasting models is one of many Noble Financials' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Noble Financials' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Noble Financials
Checking the ongoing alerts about Noble Financials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Noble Financials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Noble Financials had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Noble Financials generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Noble Stock Analysis
When running Noble Financials' price analysis, check to measure Noble Financials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Noble Financials is operating at the current time. Most of Noble Financials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Noble Financials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Noble Financials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Noble Financials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.