Noble Financials (Poland) Price Prediction

IBS Stock   74.40  4.00  5.10%   
As of today, The value of RSI of Noble Financials' share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Noble Financials, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Noble Financials' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Noble Financials and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Noble Financials' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Noble Financials SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Noble Financials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Noble Financials SA from the perspective of Noble Financials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Noble Financials to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Noble because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Noble Financials after-hype prediction price

    
  PLN 74.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Noble Financials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Noble Financials' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.1066.9181.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.3273.1375.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
72.1478.4184.68
Details

Noble Financials After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Noble Financials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Noble Financials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Noble Financials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Noble Financials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Noble Financials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Noble Financials' historical news coverage. Noble Financials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.59 and 77.21, respectively. We have considered Noble Financials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
74.40
74.40
After-hype Price
77.21
Upside
Noble Financials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Noble Financials is based on 3 months time horizon.

Noble Financials Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Noble Financials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Noble Financials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Noble Financials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.81
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
74.40
74.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Noble Financials Hype Timeline

Noble Financials is currently traded for 74.40on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Noble is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Noble Financials is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.40. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Noble Financials recorded earning per share (EPS) of 64.3. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:40 split on the 28th of October 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Noble Financials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Noble Financials Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Noble Financials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Noble Financials' future price movements. Getting to know how Noble Financials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Noble Financials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GTCGlobe Trade Centre 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.14 (2.72) 8.70 
IBSNoble Financials SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.11 (5.27) 15.68 
ABSAsseco Business Solutions 0.00 0 per month 1.66  0.04  4.41 (2.74) 11.45 
DEGDetalion Games SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.96 (6.92) 23.36 
MOVMovie Games SA 0.00 0 per month 2.17 (0.01) 5.81 (4.10) 28.64 
ALIAltustfi 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 5.78 (5.02) 13.55 
3RG3R Games SA 0.00 0 per month 3.20  0.1  7.41 (6.67) 35.16 
IGTIgoria Trade SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.35 (4.00) 12.50 
PKNPolski Koncern Naftowy 0.00 0 per month 1.85 (0.03) 3.51 (4.08) 10.33 
DGEDrago entertainment SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.82 (4.85) 13.03 

Noble Financials Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Noble price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Noble using various technical indicators. When you analyze Noble charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Noble Financials Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Noble Financials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Noble Financials SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Noble Financials based on analysis of Noble Financials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Noble Financials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Noble Financials's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Noble Financials

The number of cover stories for Noble Financials depends on current market conditions and Noble Financials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Noble Financials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Noble Financials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Noble Financials Short Properties

Noble Financials' future price predictability will typically decrease when Noble Financials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Noble Financials SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Noble Financials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Noble Financials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding386.8 K
Cash And Short Term Investments23.9 M

Additional Tools for Noble Stock Analysis

When running Noble Financials' price analysis, check to measure Noble Financials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Noble Financials is operating at the current time. Most of Noble Financials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Noble Financials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Noble Financials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Noble Financials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.