InterContinental (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 84.62
| IC1H Stock | EUR 117.00 1.00 0.86% |
InterContinental |
InterContinental Target Price Odds to finish below 84.62
The tendency of InterContinental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 84.62 or more in 90 days |
| 117.00 | 90 days | 84.62 | roughly 2.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of InterContinental to drop to € 84.62 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.54 (This InterContinental Hotels Group probability density function shows the probability of InterContinental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of InterContinental Hotels price to stay between € 84.62 and its current price of €117.0 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon InterContinental has a beta of 0.91. This usually indicates InterContinental Hotels Group market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, InterContinental is expected to follow. Additionally InterContinental Hotels Group has an alpha of 0.3139, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). InterContinental Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for InterContinental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InterContinental Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.InterContinental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. InterContinental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the InterContinental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold InterContinental Hotels Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of InterContinental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
InterContinental Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of InterContinental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for InterContinental Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| InterContinental Hotels Group has accumulated 2.34 B in total debt. InterContinental Hotels has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist InterContinental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, InterContinental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like InterContinental Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for InterContinental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about InterContinental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
InterContinental Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of InterContinental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential InterContinental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InterContinental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.6 M |
InterContinental Technical Analysis
InterContinental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. InterContinental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of InterContinental Hotels Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing InterContinental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
InterContinental Predictive Forecast Models
InterContinental's time-series forecasting models is one of many InterContinental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary InterContinental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about InterContinental Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about InterContinental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for InterContinental Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| InterContinental Hotels Group has accumulated 2.34 B in total debt. InterContinental Hotels has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist InterContinental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, InterContinental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like InterContinental Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for InterContinental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about InterContinental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in InterContinental Stock
When determining whether InterContinental Hotels is a strong investment it is important to analyze InterContinental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact InterContinental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding InterContinental Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out InterContinental Backtesting, InterContinental Valuation, InterContinental Correlation, InterContinental Hype Analysis, InterContinental Volatility, InterContinental History as well as InterContinental Performance. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.