Aeon Ventures Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0143

IDEA Stock  USD 0.01  0  12.35%   
Aeon Ventures' future price is the expected price of Aeon Ventures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aeon Ventures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aeon Ventures Backtesting, Aeon Ventures Valuation, Aeon Ventures Correlation, Aeon Ventures Hype Analysis, Aeon Ventures Volatility, Aeon Ventures History as well as Aeon Ventures Performance.
  
Please specify Aeon Ventures' target price for which you would like Aeon Ventures odds to be computed.

Aeon Ventures Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0143

The tendency of Aeon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 49.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aeon Ventures to stay above $ 0.01  in 90 days from now is about 49.15 (This Aeon Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Aeon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aeon Ventures price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.0149 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 4.62 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aeon Ventures will likely underperform. Additionally Aeon Ventures has an alpha of 0.9468, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aeon Ventures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aeon Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeon Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aeon Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0119.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0119.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0119.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Aeon Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aeon Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aeon Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aeon Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aeon Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.62
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Aeon Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aeon Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aeon Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aeon Ventures is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aeon Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aeon Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aeon Ventures currently holds 166.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.16, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Aeon Ventures has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aeon Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aeon Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aeon Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aeon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aeon Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 144.14 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.14 K.
Aeon Ventures currently holds about 32.6 K in cash with (288.96 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Aeon Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aeon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aeon Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeon Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments44.2 K

Aeon Ventures Technical Analysis

Aeon Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aeon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aeon Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aeon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aeon Ventures Predictive Forecast Models

Aeon Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aeon Ventures' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aeon Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aeon Ventures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aeon Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aeon Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aeon Ventures is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aeon Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aeon Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aeon Ventures currently holds 166.85 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.16, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Aeon Ventures has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aeon Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aeon Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aeon Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aeon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aeon Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 144.14 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.14 K.
Aeon Ventures currently holds about 32.6 K in cash with (288.96 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Aeon Pink Sheet

Aeon Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aeon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aeon with respect to the benefits of owning Aeon Ventures security.