Ies Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 416.79
| IESC Stock | USD 416.79 15.57 3.88% |
Closest to current price IES long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
IES Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 416.79
The tendency of IES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 416.79 | 90 days | 416.79 | about 47.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IES Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.71 (This IES Holdings probability density function shows the probability of IES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
IES Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IES Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IES Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IES Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IES Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IES Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IES Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IES Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IES Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
IES Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IES Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IES Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IES Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| IES Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is IES Holdings Quietly Recasting Its Future Around Data Centers And Infrastructure Scale |
IES Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IES Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IES Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 231.8 M |
IES Holdings Technical Analysis
IES Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IES Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IES Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing IES Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IES Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
IES Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many IES Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IES Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IES Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about IES Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IES Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IES Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| IES Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is IES Holdings Quietly Recasting Its Future Around Data Centers And Infrastructure Scale |
Check out IES Holdings Analysis, IES Holdings Valuation, IES Holdings Correlation, IES Holdings Hype Analysis, IES Holdings Volatility, IES Holdings Price History as well as IES Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade IES Stock refer to our How to Trade IES Stock guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Will Construction & Engineering sector continue expanding? Could IES diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IES Holdings. Market participants price IES higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every IES Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.658 | Earnings Share 16.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.162 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate IES Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating IES Holdings' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause IES Holdings' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IES Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IES Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, IES Holdings' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.