Insignia Financial (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.15
| IFL Stock | 3.15 0.07 2.17% |
Insignia |
Insignia Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 3.15
The tendency of Insignia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.15 | 90 days | 3.15 | about 18.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Insignia Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.47 (This Insignia Financial probability density function shows the probability of Insignia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Insignia Financial has a beta of 0.0122. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Insignia Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Insignia Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Insignia Financial has an alpha of 0.3828, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Insignia Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Insignia Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insignia Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Insignia Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Insignia Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Insignia Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Insignia Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Insignia Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Insignia Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Insignia Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Insignia Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Insignia Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (185.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 679.8 M. | |
| Insignia Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AMP Reportedly May Look to Do Deal with Insignia Once Business Settles Down - Marketscreener.com |
Insignia Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Insignia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Insignia Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Insignia Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 664.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 373.5 M |
Insignia Financial Technical Analysis
Insignia Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Insignia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Insignia Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Insignia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Insignia Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Insignia Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Insignia Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Insignia Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Insignia Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Insignia Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Insignia Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Insignia Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (185.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 679.8 M. | |
| Insignia Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AMP Reportedly May Look to Do Deal with Insignia Once Business Settles Down - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Insignia Stock Analysis
When running Insignia Financial's price analysis, check to measure Insignia Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Insignia Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Insignia Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Insignia Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Insignia Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Insignia Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.