Ihi Corp Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.37

IHICY Stock  USD 12.81  0.11  0.85%   
IHI Corp's future price is the expected price of IHI Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IHI Corp ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IHI Corp Backtesting, IHI Corp Valuation, IHI Corp Correlation, IHI Corp Hype Analysis, IHI Corp Volatility, IHI Corp History as well as IHI Corp Performance.
  
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IHI Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.37

The tendency of IHI Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.37  or more in 90 days
 12.81 90 days 0.37 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IHI Corp to drop to $ 0.37  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IHI Corp ADR probability density function shows the probability of IHI Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IHI Corp ADR price to stay between $ 0.37  and its current price of $12.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.65 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IHI Corp will likely underperform. Additionally IHI Corp ADR has an alpha of 0.081, implying that it can generate a 0.081 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IHI Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IHI Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IHI Corp ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IHI Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2712.8117.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.4412.9817.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.6811.2315.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9714.3415.72
Details

IHI Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IHI Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IHI Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IHI Corp ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IHI Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

IHI Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IHI Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IHI Corp ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IHI Corp ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

IHI Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IHI Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IHI Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IHI Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding594.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments148.7 B

IHI Corp Technical Analysis

IHI Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IHI Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IHI Corp ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing IHI Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IHI Corp Predictive Forecast Models

IHI Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many IHI Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IHI Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IHI Corp ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about IHI Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IHI Corp ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IHI Corp ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for IHI Pink Sheet Analysis

When running IHI Corp's price analysis, check to measure IHI Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IHI Corp is operating at the current time. Most of IHI Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IHI Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IHI Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IHI Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.