Intikeramik Alamasri (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.12
| IKAI Stock | IDR 11.00 1.00 10.00% |
Intikeramik |
Intikeramik Alamasri Target Price Odds to finish over 11.12
The tendency of Intikeramik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.12 or more in 90 days |
| 11.00 | 90 days | 11.12 | about 68.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intikeramik Alamasri to move over 11.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.1 (This Intikeramik Alamasri Industri probability density function shows the probability of Intikeramik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intikeramik Alamasri price to stay between its current price of 11.00 and 11.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intikeramik Alamasri has a beta of 0.65. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intikeramik Alamasri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intikeramik Alamasri Industri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intikeramik Alamasri Industri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intikeramik Alamasri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intikeramik Alamasri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intikeramik Alamasri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intikeramik Alamasri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intikeramik Alamasri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intikeramik Alamasri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intikeramik Alamasri Industri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intikeramik Alamasri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Intikeramik Alamasri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intikeramik Alamasri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intikeramik Alamasri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intikeramik Alamasri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intikeramik Alamasri has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Intikeramik Alamasri has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Intikeramik Alamasri Industri has accumulated 254.94 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 43.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intikeramik Alamasri has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intikeramik Alamasri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intikeramik Alamasri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intikeramik Alamasri sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intikeramik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intikeramik Alamasri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 186.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.98 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.57 B. | |
| About 29.0% of Intikeramik Alamasri shares are held by company insiders |
Intikeramik Alamasri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intikeramik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intikeramik Alamasri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intikeramik Alamasri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Intikeramik Alamasri Technical Analysis
Intikeramik Alamasri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intikeramik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intikeramik Alamasri Industri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intikeramik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intikeramik Alamasri Predictive Forecast Models
Intikeramik Alamasri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intikeramik Alamasri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intikeramik Alamasri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intikeramik Alamasri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intikeramik Alamasri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intikeramik Alamasri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intikeramik Alamasri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intikeramik Alamasri has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Intikeramik Alamasri has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Intikeramik Alamasri Industri has accumulated 254.94 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 43.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intikeramik Alamasri has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intikeramik Alamasri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intikeramik Alamasri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intikeramik Alamasri sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intikeramik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intikeramik Alamasri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 186.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.98 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.57 B. | |
| About 29.0% of Intikeramik Alamasri shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Intikeramik Stock
Intikeramik Alamasri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intikeramik Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intikeramik with respect to the benefits of owning Intikeramik Alamasri security.