Immofonds (Switzerland) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 585.98
| IM Fund | CHF 588.00 6.00 1.03% |
Immofonds |
Immofonds Target Price Odds to finish below 585.98
The tendency of Immofonds Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 585.98 or more in 90 days |
| 588.00 | 90 days | 585.98 | over 95.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immofonds to drop to ₣ 585.98 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.1 (This Immofonds probability density function shows the probability of Immofonds Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Immofonds price to stay between ₣ 585.98 and its current price of ₣588.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Immofonds has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Immofonds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Immofonds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Immofonds has an alpha of 0.1799, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Immofonds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Immofonds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immofonds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immofonds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Immofonds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immofonds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immofonds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immofonds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immofonds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Immofonds Technical Analysis
Immofonds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immofonds Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immofonds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immofonds Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Immofonds Predictive Forecast Models
Immofonds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Immofonds' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Immofonds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Immofonds in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Immofonds' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Immofonds options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Immofonds Fund
Immofonds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Immofonds Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Immofonds with respect to the benefits of owning Immofonds security.
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