Immobel (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.92

IMMO Stock  EUR 16.92  0.26  1.56%   
Immobel's future price is the expected price of Immobel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Immobel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Immobel Backtesting, Immobel Valuation, Immobel Correlation, Immobel Hype Analysis, Immobel Volatility, Immobel History as well as Immobel Performance.
  
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Immobel Target Price Odds to finish over 16.92

The tendency of Immobel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.92 90 days 16.92 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immobel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Immobel probability density function shows the probability of Immobel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Immobel has a beta of -0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Immobel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Immobel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Immobel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Immobel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Immobel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immobel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3316.9218.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1715.7617.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.0216.6118.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3017.2818.25
Details

Immobel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immobel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immobel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immobel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immobel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

Immobel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Immobel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Immobel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immobel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Immobel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Immobel has accumulated about 171.36 M in cash with (21.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Immobel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Immobel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Immobel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immobel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments273.4 M

Immobel Technical Analysis

Immobel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immobel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immobel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immobel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Immobel Predictive Forecast Models

Immobel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Immobel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Immobel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Immobel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Immobel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Immobel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immobel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Immobel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Immobel has accumulated about 171.36 M in cash with (21.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Immobel Stock Analysis

When running Immobel's price analysis, check to measure Immobel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immobel is operating at the current time. Most of Immobel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immobel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immobel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immobel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.