Imperial Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.71
| IMPP Stock | USD 3.18 0.02 0.63% |
Imperial |
Imperial Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish below 3.71
The tendency of Imperial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.71 after 90 days |
| 3.18 | 90 days | 3.71 | about 31.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imperial Petroleum to stay under $ 3.71 after 90 days from now is about 31.88 (This Imperial Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Imperial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Imperial Petroleum price to stay between its current price of $ 3.18 and $ 3.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Imperial Petroleum has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Imperial Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Imperial Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Imperial Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Imperial Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Imperial Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Imperial Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imperial Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imperial Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imperial Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imperial Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Imperial Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imperial Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imperial Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Imperial Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Imperial Petroleum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Imperial Petroleum has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Imperial Petroleum Inc. Announces the Date for the Release of Third Quarter and Nine Months ... |
Imperial Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Imperial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Imperial Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Imperial Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124 M |
Imperial Petroleum Technical Analysis
Imperial Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Imperial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Imperial Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Imperial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Imperial Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Imperial Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Imperial Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Imperial Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Imperial Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Imperial Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Imperial Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Imperial Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Imperial Petroleum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Imperial Petroleum has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Imperial Petroleum Inc. Announces the Date for the Release of Third Quarter and Nine Months ... |
Additional Tools for Imperial Stock Analysis
When running Imperial Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Imperial Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Imperial Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Imperial Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Imperial Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Imperial Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Imperial Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.