INA Industrija (Croatia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 457.5
| INA Stock | 470.00 0.00 0.00% |
INA |
INA Industrija Target Price Odds to finish below 457.5
The tendency of INA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 457.50 or more in 90 days |
| 470.00 | 90 days | 457.50 | about 45.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INA Industrija to drop to 457.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 45.11 (This INA Industrija Nafte dd probability density function shows the probability of INA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INA Industrija Nafte price to stay between 457.50 and its current price of 470.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INA Industrija has a beta of 0.0996. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, INA Industrija average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding INA Industrija Nafte dd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally INA Industrija Nafte dd has an alpha of 0.0623, implying that it can generate a 0.0623 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INA Industrija Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INA Industrija
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INA Industrija Nafte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INA Industrija Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INA Industrija is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INA Industrija's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INA Industrija Nafte dd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INA Industrija within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
INA Industrija Technical Analysis
INA Industrija's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INA Industrija Nafte dd. In general, you should focus on analyzing INA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INA Industrija Predictive Forecast Models
INA Industrija's time-series forecasting models is one of many INA Industrija's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INA Industrija's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards INA Industrija in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, INA Industrija's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from INA Industrija options trading.
Other Information on Investing in INA Stock
INA Industrija financial ratios help investors to determine whether INA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INA with respect to the benefits of owning INA Industrija security.