Insumos Agroquimicos (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2895.0
| INAG Stock | ARS 2,895 0.00 0.00% |
Insumos |
Insumos Agroquimicos Target Price Odds to finish below 2895.0
The tendency of Insumos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 2,895 | 90 days | 2,895 | about 51.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Insumos Agroquimicos to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 51.57 (This Insumos Agroquimicos SA probability density function shows the probability of Insumos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Insumos Agroquimicos SA has a beta of -10.36. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Insumos Agroquimicos SA are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Insumos Agroquimicos is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Insumos Agroquimicos SA has an alpha of 16.188, implying that it can generate a 16.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Insumos Agroquimicos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Insumos Agroquimicos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insumos Agroquimicos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Insumos Agroquimicos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Insumos Agroquimicos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Insumos Agroquimicos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Insumos Agroquimicos SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Insumos Agroquimicos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 16.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -10.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 466.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Insumos Agroquimicos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Insumos Agroquimicos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Insumos Agroquimicos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Insumos Agroquimicos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Insumos Agroquimicos SA has accumulated about 457.52 M in cash with (438.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.8. |
Insumos Agroquimicos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Insumos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Insumos Agroquimicos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Insumos Agroquimicos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22 M |
Insumos Agroquimicos Technical Analysis
Insumos Agroquimicos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Insumos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Insumos Agroquimicos SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Insumos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Insumos Agroquimicos Predictive Forecast Models
Insumos Agroquimicos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Insumos Agroquimicos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Insumos Agroquimicos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Insumos Agroquimicos
Checking the ongoing alerts about Insumos Agroquimicos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Insumos Agroquimicos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Insumos Agroquimicos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Insumos Agroquimicos SA has accumulated about 457.52 M in cash with (438.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.8. |
Other Information on Investing in Insumos Stock
Insumos Agroquimicos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Insumos Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Insumos with respect to the benefits of owning Insumos Agroquimicos security.