Intanwijaya Internasional (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 593.58
| INCI Stock | IDR 575.00 10.00 1.71% |
Intanwijaya |
Intanwijaya Internasional Target Price Odds to finish below 593.58
The tendency of Intanwijaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 593.58 after 90 days |
| 575.00 | 90 days | 593.58 | about 72.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intanwijaya Internasional to stay under 593.58 after 90 days from now is about 72.59 (This Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Intanwijaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intanwijaya Internasional price to stay between its current price of 575.00 and 593.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk has a beta of -0.0611. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intanwijaya Internasional are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intanwijaya Internasional Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intanwijaya Internasional
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intanwijaya Internasional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intanwijaya Internasional Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intanwijaya Internasional is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intanwijaya Internasional's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intanwijaya Internasional within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Intanwijaya Internasional Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intanwijaya Internasional for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intanwijaya Internasional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intanwijaya Internasional generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk has accumulated about 78.12 B in cash with (15.59 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Intanwijaya Internasional Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intanwijaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intanwijaya Internasional's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intanwijaya Internasional's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 196.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.1 B |
Intanwijaya Internasional Technical Analysis
Intanwijaya Internasional's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intanwijaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intanwijaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intanwijaya Internasional Predictive Forecast Models
Intanwijaya Internasional's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intanwijaya Internasional's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intanwijaya Internasional's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intanwijaya Internasional
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intanwijaya Internasional for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intanwijaya Internasional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intanwijaya Internasional generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk has accumulated about 78.12 B in cash with (15.59 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Intanwijaya Stock
Intanwijaya Internasional financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intanwijaya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intanwijaya with respect to the benefits of owning Intanwijaya Internasional security.