Innergex Renewable Energy Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 14.18

INE-PA Preferred Stock  CAD 15.65  0.14  0.90%   
Innergex Renewable's future price is the expected price of Innergex Renewable instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Innergex Renewable Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Innergex Renewable Backtesting, Innergex Renewable Valuation, Innergex Renewable Correlation, Innergex Renewable Hype Analysis, Innergex Renewable Volatility, Innergex Renewable History as well as Innergex Renewable Performance.
  
Please specify Innergex Renewable's target price for which you would like Innergex Renewable odds to be computed.

Innergex Renewable Target Price Odds to finish below 14.18

The tendency of Innergex Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 14.18  or more in 90 days
 15.65 90 days 14.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innergex Renewable to drop to C$ 14.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Innergex Renewable Energy probability density function shows the probability of Innergex Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innergex Renewable Energy price to stay between C$ 14.18  and its current price of C$15.65 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Innergex Renewable has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Innergex Renewable average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innergex Renewable Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innergex Renewable Energy has an alpha of 0.0965, implying that it can generate a 0.0965 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innergex Renewable Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innergex Renewable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innergex Renewable Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8515.6516.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6115.4116.21
Details

Innergex Renewable Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innergex Renewable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innergex Renewable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innergex Renewable Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innergex Renewable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Innergex Renewable Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innergex Renewable for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innergex Renewable Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innergex Renewable has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 747.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (191.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 570.74 M.

Innergex Renewable Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Innergex Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Innergex Renewable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innergex Renewable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.3 M

Innergex Renewable Technical Analysis

Innergex Renewable's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innergex Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innergex Renewable Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innergex Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Innergex Renewable Predictive Forecast Models

Innergex Renewable's time-series forecasting models is one of many Innergex Renewable's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innergex Renewable's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Innergex Renewable Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Innergex Renewable for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innergex Renewable Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innergex Renewable has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 747.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (191.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 570.74 M.

Other Information on Investing in Innergex Preferred Stock

Innergex Renewable financial ratios help investors to determine whether Innergex Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Innergex with respect to the benefits of owning Innergex Renewable security.