POSCO Thainox (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| INOX Stock | THB 0.52 0.01 1.96% |
POSCO |
POSCO Thainox Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of POSCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POSCO Thainox to drop to 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This POSCO Thainox Public probability density function shows the probability of POSCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POSCO Thainox Public price to stay between 0.02 and its current price of 0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POSCO Thainox Public has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding POSCO Thainox are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, POSCO Thainox Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally POSCO Thainox Public has an alpha of 0.0818, implying that it can generate a 0.0818 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). POSCO Thainox Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for POSCO Thainox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POSCO Thainox Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.POSCO Thainox Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POSCO Thainox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POSCO Thainox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POSCO Thainox Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POSCO Thainox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
POSCO Thainox Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POSCO Thainox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POSCO Thainox Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| POSCO Thainox Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| POSCO Thainox Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| POSCO Thainox Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
POSCO Thainox Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of POSCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential POSCO Thainox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. POSCO Thainox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.8 B |
POSCO Thainox Technical Analysis
POSCO Thainox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POSCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POSCO Thainox Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing POSCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
POSCO Thainox Predictive Forecast Models
POSCO Thainox's time-series forecasting models is one of many POSCO Thainox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POSCO Thainox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about POSCO Thainox Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about POSCO Thainox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POSCO Thainox Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| POSCO Thainox Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| POSCO Thainox Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| POSCO Thainox Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in POSCO Stock
POSCO Thainox financial ratios help investors to determine whether POSCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POSCO with respect to the benefits of owning POSCO Thainox security.