Inter Parfums Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 122.49
| IPAR Stock | USD 134.07 3.41 2.61% |
Inter |
Inter Parfums Target Price Odds to finish below 122.49
The tendency of Inter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 122.49 or more in 90 days |
| 134.07 | 90 days | 122.49 | about 43.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inter Parfums to drop to $ 122.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.77 (This Inter Parfums probability density function shows the probability of Inter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inter Parfums price to stay between $ 122.49 and its current price of $134.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.63 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually indicates Inter Parfums market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Inter Parfums is expected to follow. Additionally Inter Parfums has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inter Parfums Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inter Parfums
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inter Parfums. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inter Parfums Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inter Parfums is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inter Parfums' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inter Parfums, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inter Parfums within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Inter Parfums Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inter Parfums for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inter Parfums can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of September 2024 Inter Parfums paid $ 0.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Interparfums director Harrison Gilbert sells 12,453 in stock |
Inter Parfums Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inter Parfums' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inter Parfums' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.8 M |
Inter Parfums Technical Analysis
Inter Parfums' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inter Parfums. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inter Parfums Predictive Forecast Models
Inter Parfums' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inter Parfums' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inter Parfums' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inter Parfums
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inter Parfums for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inter Parfums help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 30th of September 2024 Inter Parfums paid $ 0.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Interparfums director Harrison Gilbert sells 12,453 in stock |
Additional Tools for Inter Stock Analysis
When running Inter Parfums' price analysis, check to measure Inter Parfums' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inter Parfums is operating at the current time. Most of Inter Parfums' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inter Parfums' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inter Parfums' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inter Parfums to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.