Jasa Armada (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 270.75
| IPCM Stock | IDR 270.00 2.00 0.74% |
Jasa |
Jasa Armada Target Price Odds to finish below 270.75
The tendency of Jasa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 270.75 after 90 days |
| 270.00 | 90 days | 270.75 | about 65.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jasa Armada to stay under 270.75 after 90 days from now is about 65.04 (This Jasa Armada Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Jasa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jasa Armada Indonesia price to stay between its current price of 270.00 and 270.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jasa Armada has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Jasa Armada average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jasa Armada Indonesia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jasa Armada Indonesia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jasa Armada Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jasa Armada
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jasa Armada Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jasa Armada Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jasa Armada is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jasa Armada's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jasa Armada Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jasa Armada within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Jasa Armada Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jasa Armada for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jasa Armada Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jasa Armada generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jasa Armada Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jasa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jasa Armada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jasa Armada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 655.6 B |
Jasa Armada Technical Analysis
Jasa Armada's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jasa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jasa Armada Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jasa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jasa Armada Predictive Forecast Models
Jasa Armada's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jasa Armada's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jasa Armada's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jasa Armada Indonesia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jasa Armada for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jasa Armada Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jasa Armada generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jasa Stock
Jasa Armada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jasa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jasa with respect to the benefits of owning Jasa Armada security.