Inplay Oil Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.27

IPOOF Stock  USD 1.27  0.05  3.79%   
InPlay Oil's future price is the expected price of InPlay Oil instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of InPlay Oil Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out InPlay Oil Backtesting, InPlay Oil Valuation, InPlay Oil Correlation, InPlay Oil Hype Analysis, InPlay Oil Volatility, InPlay Oil History as well as InPlay Oil Performance.
  
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InPlay Oil Target Price Odds to finish below 1.27

The tendency of InPlay OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.27 90 days 1.27 
about 5.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of InPlay Oil to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.01 (This InPlay Oil Corp probability density function shows the probability of InPlay OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon InPlay Oil has a beta of 0.0957. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, InPlay Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding InPlay Oil Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally InPlay Oil Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   InPlay Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for InPlay Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InPlay Oil Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.273.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.123.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.313.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.241.291.33
Details

InPlay Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. InPlay Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the InPlay Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold InPlay Oil Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of InPlay Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

InPlay Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of InPlay Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for InPlay Oil Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
InPlay Oil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
InPlay Oil Corp may become a speculative penny stock
InPlay Oil Corp has accumulated 26.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. InPlay Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist InPlay Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, InPlay Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like InPlay Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for InPlay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about InPlay Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 25.0% of InPlay Oil shares are held by company insiders

InPlay Oil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of InPlay OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential InPlay Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InPlay Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.2 M

InPlay Oil Technical Analysis

InPlay Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. InPlay OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of InPlay Oil Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing InPlay OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

InPlay Oil Predictive Forecast Models

InPlay Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many InPlay Oil's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary InPlay Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about InPlay Oil Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about InPlay Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for InPlay Oil Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
InPlay Oil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
InPlay Oil Corp may become a speculative penny stock
InPlay Oil Corp has accumulated 26.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. InPlay Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist InPlay Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, InPlay Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like InPlay Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for InPlay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about InPlay Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 25.0% of InPlay Oil shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in InPlay OTC Stock

InPlay Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether InPlay OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in InPlay with respect to the benefits of owning InPlay Oil security.