Ideal Power Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.52
| IPWR Stock | USD 6.62 0.15 2.22% |
Ideal |
Ideal Power Target Price Odds to finish over 19.52
The tendency of Ideal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.52 or more in 90 days |
| 6.62 | 90 days | 19.52 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ideal Power to move over $ 19.52 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ideal Power probability density function shows the probability of Ideal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ideal Power price to stay between its current price of $ 6.62 and $ 19.52 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually indicates Ideal Power market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ideal Power is expected to follow. Additionally Ideal Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ideal Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ideal Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ideal Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ideal Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ideal Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ideal Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ideal Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ideal Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ideal Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Ideal Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ideal Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ideal Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ideal Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ideal Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 198.87 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Ideal Power currently holds about 20.02 M in cash with (7.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.39. | |
| Ideal Power has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Daniel Brdar Acquires Shares of Ideal Power Inc |
Ideal Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ideal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ideal Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ideal Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.5 M |
Ideal Power Technical Analysis
Ideal Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ideal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ideal Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ideal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ideal Power Predictive Forecast Models
Ideal Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ideal Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ideal Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ideal Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ideal Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ideal Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ideal Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ideal Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 198.87 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Ideal Power currently holds about 20.02 M in cash with (7.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.39. | |
| Ideal Power has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Daniel Brdar Acquires Shares of Ideal Power Inc |
Additional Tools for Ideal Stock Analysis
When running Ideal Power's price analysis, check to measure Ideal Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ideal Power is operating at the current time. Most of Ideal Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ideal Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ideal Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ideal Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.