Impax Asset (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 365.75

IPX Stock   332.50  5.50  1.68%   
Impax Asset's future price is the expected price of Impax Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Impax Asset Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Impax Asset Backtesting, Impax Asset Valuation, Impax Asset Correlation, Impax Asset Hype Analysis, Impax Asset Volatility, Impax Asset History as well as Impax Asset Performance.
  
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Impax Asset Target Price Odds to finish over 365.75

The tendency of Impax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  365.75  or more in 90 days
 332.50 90 days 365.75 
about 55.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impax Asset to move over  365.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 55.81 (This Impax Asset Management probability density function shows the probability of Impax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impax Asset Management price to stay between its current price of  332.50  and  365.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impax Asset has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Impax Asset average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Impax Asset Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Impax Asset Management has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Impax Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Impax Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impax Asset Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
327.45329.77365.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
300.72303.04365.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
346.77349.09351.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.080.08
Details

Impax Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impax Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impax Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impax Asset Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impax Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
21.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Impax Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impax Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impax Asset Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impax Asset generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Impax Asset is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 UK Penny Stocks With Market Caps Under 2B - Simply Wall St

Impax Asset Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impax Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impax Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impax Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments104.8 M

Impax Asset Technical Analysis

Impax Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impax Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impax Asset Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impax Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Impax Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Impax Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impax Asset's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impax Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Impax Asset Management

Checking the ongoing alerts about Impax Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impax Asset Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Impax Asset generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Impax Asset is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 UK Penny Stocks With Market Caps Under 2B - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Impax Stock

Impax Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impax Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impax with respect to the benefits of owning Impax Asset security.