Turkiye Is (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.40

ISCTR Stock  TRY 13.50  0.10  0.74%   
Turkiye Is' future price is the expected price of Turkiye Is instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turkiye Is Bankasi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Turkiye Is Backtesting, Turkiye Is Valuation, Turkiye Is Correlation, Turkiye Is Hype Analysis, Turkiye Is Volatility, Turkiye Is History as well as Turkiye Is Performance.
  
Please specify Turkiye Is' target price for which you would like Turkiye Is odds to be computed.

Turkiye Is Target Price Odds to finish below 4.40

The tendency of Turkiye Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  4.40  or more in 90 days
 13.50 90 days 4.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkiye Is to drop to  4.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Turkiye Is Bankasi probability density function shows the probability of Turkiye Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turkiye Is Bankasi price to stay between  4.40  and its current price of 13.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Turkiye Is has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Turkiye Is average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Turkiye Is Bankasi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Turkiye Is Bankasi has an alpha of 0.0053, implying that it can generate a 0.005315 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Turkiye Is Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Turkiye Is

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Is Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0413.5015.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5110.9714.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0613.5215.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6412.7013.76
Details

Turkiye Is Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkiye Is is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkiye Is' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkiye Is Bankasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkiye Is within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Turkiye Is Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkiye Is for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkiye Is Bankasi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Is Bankasi has accumulated about 93.25 B in cash with (21.96 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Turkiye Is Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkiye Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkiye Is' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Is' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.5 B

Turkiye Is Technical Analysis

Turkiye Is' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkiye Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkiye Is Bankasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkiye Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turkiye Is Predictive Forecast Models

Turkiye Is' time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkiye Is' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turkiye Is' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turkiye Is Bankasi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkiye Is for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkiye Is Bankasi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Is Bankasi has accumulated about 93.25 B in cash with (21.96 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Turkiye Stock

Turkiye Is financial ratios help investors to determine whether Turkiye Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Turkiye with respect to the benefits of owning Turkiye Is security.