Is Girisim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.82

ISGSY Stock  TRY 37.10  0.32  0.87%   
Is Girisim's future price is the expected price of Is Girisim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Is Girisim Sermayesi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Is Girisim Backtesting, Is Girisim Valuation, Is Girisim Correlation, Is Girisim Hype Analysis, Is Girisim Volatility, Is Girisim History as well as Is Girisim Performance.
  
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Is Girisim Target Price Odds to finish over 22.82

The tendency of ISGSY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  22.82  in 90 days
 37.10 90 days 22.82 
about 80.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Is Girisim to stay above  22.82  in 90 days from now is about 80.55 (This Is Girisim Sermayesi probability density function shows the probability of ISGSY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Is Girisim Sermayesi price to stay between  22.82  and its current price of 37.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Is Girisim has a beta of 0.0959. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Is Girisim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Is Girisim Sermayesi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Is Girisim Sermayesi has an alpha of 0.7886, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Is Girisim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Is Girisim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Is Girisim Sermayesi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Is Girisim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.0637.1041.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9227.9640.81
Details

Is Girisim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Is Girisim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Is Girisim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Is Girisim Sermayesi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Is Girisim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Is Girisim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Is Girisim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Is Girisim Sermayesi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Is Girisim Sermayesi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Is Girisim Technical Analysis

Is Girisim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ISGSY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Is Girisim Sermayesi. In general, you should focus on analyzing ISGSY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Is Girisim Predictive Forecast Models

Is Girisim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Is Girisim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Is Girisim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Is Girisim Sermayesi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Is Girisim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Is Girisim Sermayesi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Is Girisim Sermayesi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ISGSY Stock

Is Girisim financial ratios help investors to determine whether ISGSY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ISGSY with respect to the benefits of owning Is Girisim security.