Is Girisim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.75
| ISGSY Stock | TRY 37.10 0.32 0.87% |
ISGSY |
Is Girisim Target Price Odds to finish below 34.75
The tendency of ISGSY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 34.75 or more in 90 days |
| 37.10 | 90 days | 34.75 | about 88.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Is Girisim to drop to 34.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 88.01 (This Is Girisim Sermayesi probability density function shows the probability of ISGSY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Is Girisim Sermayesi price to stay between 34.75 and its current price of 37.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Is Girisim Sermayesi has a beta of -0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Is Girisim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Is Girisim Sermayesi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Is Girisim Sermayesi has an alpha of 0.8011, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Is Girisim Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Is Girisim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Is Girisim Sermayesi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Is Girisim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Is Girisim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Is Girisim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Is Girisim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Is Girisim Sermayesi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Is Girisim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Is Girisim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Is Girisim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Is Girisim Sermayesi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Is Girisim Sermayesi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Is Girisim Technical Analysis
Is Girisim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ISGSY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Is Girisim Sermayesi. In general, you should focus on analyzing ISGSY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Is Girisim Predictive Forecast Models
Is Girisim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Is Girisim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Is Girisim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Is Girisim Sermayesi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Is Girisim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Is Girisim Sermayesi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Is Girisim Sermayesi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ISGSY Stock
Is Girisim financial ratios help investors to determine whether ISGSY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ISGSY with respect to the benefits of owning Is Girisim security.