Intesa Sanpaolo Spa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 23.57
| ISNPY Stock | USD 22.95 0.27 1.19% |
Intesa |
Intesa Sanpaolo Target Price Odds to finish over 23.57
The tendency of Intesa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 23.57 or more in 90 days |
| 22.95 | 90 days | 23.57 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intesa Sanpaolo to move over $ 23.57 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Intesa Sanpaolo SpA probability density function shows the probability of Intesa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intesa Sanpaolo SpA price to stay between its current price of $ 22.95 and $ 23.57 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Intesa Sanpaolo has a beta of 0.0125. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intesa Sanpaolo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intesa Sanpaolo SpA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intesa Sanpaolo SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intesa Sanpaolo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intesa Sanpaolo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intesa Sanpaolo SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intesa Sanpaolo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intesa Sanpaolo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intesa Sanpaolo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intesa Sanpaolo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Intesa Sanpaolo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intesa Sanpaolo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intesa Sanpaolo SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intesa Sanpaolo SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Intesa Sanpaolo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intesa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intesa Sanpaolo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intesa Sanpaolo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 B |
Intesa Sanpaolo Technical Analysis
Intesa Sanpaolo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intesa Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intesa Sanpaolo SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intesa Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intesa Sanpaolo Predictive Forecast Models
Intesa Sanpaolo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intesa Sanpaolo's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intesa Sanpaolo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intesa Sanpaolo SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intesa Sanpaolo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intesa Sanpaolo SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intesa Sanpaolo SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Intesa Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Intesa Sanpaolo's price analysis, check to measure Intesa Sanpaolo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intesa Sanpaolo is operating at the current time. Most of Intesa Sanpaolo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intesa Sanpaolo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intesa Sanpaolo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intesa Sanpaolo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.