Investcorp India Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.34

IVCAU Stock  USD 11.65  0.04  0.34%   
Investcorp India's future price is the expected price of Investcorp India instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Investcorp India Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investcorp India Backtesting, Investcorp India Valuation, Investcorp India Correlation, Investcorp India Hype Analysis, Investcorp India Volatility, Investcorp India History as well as Investcorp India Performance.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 34.37 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 2.60 in 2024. Please specify Investcorp India's target price for which you would like Investcorp India odds to be computed.

Investcorp India Target Price Odds to finish below 11.34

The tendency of Investcorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.34  or more in 90 days
 11.65 90 days 11.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investcorp India to drop to $ 11.34  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Investcorp India Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Investcorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investcorp India Acq price to stay between $ 11.34  and its current price of $11.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Investcorp India has a beta of 0.0272. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Investcorp India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Investcorp India Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Investcorp India Acquisition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Investcorp India Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Investcorp India

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investcorp India Acq. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4711.6511.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4611.6311.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3411.5311.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6511.6511.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Investcorp India. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Investcorp India's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Investcorp India's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Investcorp India Acq.

Investcorp India Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investcorp India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investcorp India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investcorp India Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investcorp India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0066
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.68

Investcorp India Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investcorp India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investcorp India Acq can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Investcorp India Acq has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Investcorp India Acquisition has accumulated about 1.23 M in cash with (658.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Investcorp India Acq has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investcorp India Acquisition Corp Shares Sold by Mizuho Securities USA LLC - MarketBeat

Investcorp India Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investcorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investcorp India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investcorp India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments276.8 K

Investcorp India Technical Analysis

Investcorp India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investcorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investcorp India Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investcorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Investcorp India Predictive Forecast Models

Investcorp India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investcorp India's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investcorp India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Investcorp India Acq

Checking the ongoing alerts about Investcorp India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investcorp India Acq help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Investcorp India Acq has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Investcorp India Acquisition has accumulated about 1.23 M in cash with (658.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Investcorp India Acq has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investcorp India Acquisition Corp Shares Sold by Mizuho Securities USA LLC - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Investcorp Stock Analysis

When running Investcorp India's price analysis, check to measure Investcorp India's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investcorp India is operating at the current time. Most of Investcorp India's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investcorp India's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investcorp India's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investcorp India to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.