IXICO PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.20

IXI Stock   11.75  0.25  2.17%   
IXICO PLC's future price is the expected price of IXICO PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IXICO PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IXICO PLC Backtesting, IXICO PLC Valuation, IXICO PLC Correlation, IXICO PLC Hype Analysis, IXICO PLC Volatility, IXICO PLC History as well as IXICO PLC Performance.
  
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IXICO PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 19.20

The tendency of IXICO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.20  or more in 90 days
 11.75 90 days 19.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IXICO PLC to move over  19.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IXICO PLC probability density function shows the probability of IXICO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IXICO PLC price to stay between its current price of  11.75  and  19.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IXICO PLC has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IXICO PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IXICO PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IXICO PLC has an alpha of 0.3733, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IXICO PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IXICO PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IXICO PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.6111.2614.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.4511.1014.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.2711.9215.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.01-0.01-0.01
Details

IXICO PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IXICO PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IXICO PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IXICO PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IXICO PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

IXICO PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IXICO PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IXICO PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IXICO PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.24 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: IXICO lands 500k phase II Huntingtons contract By Proactive Investors - Investing.com UK

IXICO PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IXICO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IXICO PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IXICO PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.3 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

IXICO PLC Technical Analysis

IXICO PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IXICO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IXICO PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing IXICO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IXICO PLC Predictive Forecast Models

IXICO PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many IXICO PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IXICO PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IXICO PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about IXICO PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IXICO PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IXICO PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.24 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: IXICO lands 500k phase II Huntingtons contract By Proactive Investors - Investing.com UK

Other Information on Investing in IXICO Stock

IXICO PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether IXICO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IXICO with respect to the benefits of owning IXICO PLC security.