Japan Asia (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.41

JAN Stock  EUR 1.30  0.01  0.78%   
Japan Asia's future price is the expected price of Japan Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Japan Asia Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Japan Asia Backtesting, Japan Asia Valuation, Japan Asia Correlation, Japan Asia Hype Analysis, Japan Asia Volatility, Japan Asia History as well as Japan Asia Performance.
  
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Japan Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 1.41

The tendency of Japan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 1.41  or more in 90 days
 1.30 90 days 1.41 
about 6.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Asia to move over € 1.41  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.51 (This Japan Asia Investment probability density function shows the probability of Japan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Japan Asia Investment price to stay between its current price of € 1.30  and € 1.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Japan Asia has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Japan Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Japan Asia Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Japan Asia Investment has an alpha of 0.0656, implying that it can generate a 0.0656 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Japan Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Japan Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Asia Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.306.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.096.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.276.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.291.301.31
Details

Japan Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Asia Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.0021

Japan Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Japan Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Japan Asia Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Japan Asia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Japan Asia may become a speculative penny stock
Japan Asia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Japan Asia has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Japan Asia Investment has accumulated about 81.9 M in cash with (145 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Japan Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Japan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Japan Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.7 M

Japan Asia Technical Analysis

Japan Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Japan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Japan Asia Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Japan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Japan Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Japan Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Japan Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Japan Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Japan Asia Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Japan Asia Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Japan Asia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Japan Asia may become a speculative penny stock
Japan Asia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Japan Asia has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Japan Asia Investment has accumulated about 81.9 M in cash with (145 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Japan Stock

Japan Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Asia security.