Janel Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 29.69
JANL Stock | USD 30.50 0.00 0.00% |
Janel |
Janel Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 29.69
The tendency of Janel Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 29.69 or more in 90 days |
30.50 | 90 days | 29.69 | about 5.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Janel Corp to drop to $ 29.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.27 (This Janel Corp probability density function shows the probability of Janel Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Janel Corp price to stay between $ 29.69 and its current price of $30.5 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Janel Corp has a beta of 0.21. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Janel Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Janel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Janel Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Janel Corp Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Janel Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Janel Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Janel Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Janel Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Janel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Janel Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Janel Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Janel Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Janel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Janel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Janel Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Janel Corp currently holds 12.9 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Janel Corp has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Janel Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Janel Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Janel Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Janel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Janel Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 316.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.69 M. | |
About 78.0% of Janel Corp shares are held by company insiders |
Janel Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Janel Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Janel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Janel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.6 M |
Janel Corp Technical Analysis
Janel Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Janel Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Janel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Janel Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Janel Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Janel Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Janel Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Janel Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Janel Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Janel Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Janel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Janel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Janel Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Janel Corp currently holds 12.9 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Janel Corp has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Janel Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Janel Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Janel Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Janel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Janel Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 316.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.69 M. | |
About 78.0% of Janel Corp shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Janel Pink Sheet
Janel Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janel Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janel with respect to the benefits of owning Janel Corp security.