Jasnita Telekomindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 64.25

JAST Stock   53.00  1.00  1.85%   
Jasnita Telekomindo's future price is the expected price of Jasnita Telekomindo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jasnita Telekomindo Backtesting, Jasnita Telekomindo Valuation, Jasnita Telekomindo Correlation, Jasnita Telekomindo Hype Analysis, Jasnita Telekomindo Volatility, Jasnita Telekomindo History as well as Jasnita Telekomindo Performance.
  
Please specify Jasnita Telekomindo's target price for which you would like Jasnita Telekomindo odds to be computed.

Jasnita Telekomindo Target Price Odds to finish over 64.25

The tendency of Jasnita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  64.25  or more in 90 days
 53.00 90 days 64.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jasnita Telekomindo to move over  64.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Jasnita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk price to stay between its current price of  53.00  and  64.25  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jasnita Telekomindo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jasnita Telekomindo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jasnita Telekomindo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9252.0054.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.8644.9457.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.3951.4753.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.8754.2957.70
Details

Jasnita Telekomindo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jasnita Telekomindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jasnita Telekomindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jasnita Telekomindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Jasnita Telekomindo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jasnita Telekomindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jasnita Telekomindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 68.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.94 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.8 B.
Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has accumulated about 5.97 B in cash with (2.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jasnita Telekomindo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jasnita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jasnita Telekomindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jasnita Telekomindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding813.6 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Jasnita Telekomindo Technical Analysis

Jasnita Telekomindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jasnita Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jasnita Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jasnita Telekomindo Predictive Forecast Models

Jasnita Telekomindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jasnita Telekomindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jasnita Telekomindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jasnita Telekomindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jasnita Telekomindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 68.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.94 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.8 B.
Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has accumulated about 5.97 B in cash with (2.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Jasnita Stock

Jasnita Telekomindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jasnita Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jasnita with respect to the benefits of owning Jasnita Telekomindo security.