Jubilee Platinum (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 89.37

JBL Stock   95.00  2.00  2.06%   
Jubilee Platinum's future price is the expected price of Jubilee Platinum instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jubilee Platinum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jubilee Platinum Backtesting, Jubilee Platinum Valuation, Jubilee Platinum Correlation, Jubilee Platinum Hype Analysis, Jubilee Platinum Volatility, Jubilee Platinum History as well as Jubilee Platinum Performance.
  
Please specify Jubilee Platinum's target price for which you would like Jubilee Platinum odds to be computed.

Jubilee Platinum Target Price Odds to finish below 89.37

The tendency of Jubilee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  89.37  or more in 90 days
 95.00 90 days 89.37 
about 12.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jubilee Platinum to drop to  89.37  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.93 (This Jubilee Platinum probability density function shows the probability of Jubilee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jubilee Platinum price to stay between  89.37  and its current price of 95.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jubilee Platinum has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jubilee Platinum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jubilee Platinum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jubilee Platinum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jubilee Platinum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jubilee Platinum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jubilee Platinum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.4695.0099.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.4684.00104.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.9990.5495.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.4097.62116.85
Details

Jubilee Platinum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jubilee Platinum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jubilee Platinum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jubilee Platinum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jubilee Platinum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
12.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Jubilee Platinum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jubilee Platinum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jubilee Platinum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jubilee Platinum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jubilee Platinum has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jubilee Platinum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jubilee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jubilee Platinum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jubilee Platinum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B

Jubilee Platinum Technical Analysis

Jubilee Platinum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jubilee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jubilee Platinum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jubilee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jubilee Platinum Predictive Forecast Models

Jubilee Platinum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jubilee Platinum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jubilee Platinum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jubilee Platinum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jubilee Platinum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jubilee Platinum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jubilee Platinum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jubilee Platinum has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Jubilee Stock

Jubilee Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jubilee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jubilee with respect to the benefits of owning Jubilee Platinum security.