JetBlue Airways (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 122.08
| JBLU Stock | MXN 121.16 4.28 3.66% |
JetBlue |
JetBlue Airways Target Price Odds to finish over 122.08
The tendency of JetBlue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 122.08 or more in 90 days |
| 121.16 | 90 days | 122.08 | about 48.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JetBlue Airways to move over 122.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.55 (This JetBlue Airways probability density function shows the probability of JetBlue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JetBlue Airways price to stay between its current price of 121.16 and 122.08 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JetBlue Airways has a beta of -0.57. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JetBlue Airways are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JetBlue Airways is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JetBlue Airways has an alpha of 0.5936, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JetBlue Airways Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JetBlue Airways
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JetBlue Airways. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JetBlue Airways Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JetBlue Airways is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JetBlue Airways' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JetBlue Airways, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JetBlue Airways within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
JetBlue Airways Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JetBlue Airways for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JetBlue Airways can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JetBlue Airways had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| JetBlue Airways has accumulated 3.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 53.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. JetBlue Airways has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JetBlue Airways until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JetBlue Airways' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JetBlue Airways sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for JetBlue to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JetBlue Airways' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (362 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.06 B. | |
| About 70.0% of JetBlue Airways shares are owned by institutional investors |
JetBlue Airways Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JetBlue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JetBlue Airways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JetBlue Airways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 323.9 M |
JetBlue Airways Technical Analysis
JetBlue Airways' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JetBlue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JetBlue Airways. In general, you should focus on analyzing JetBlue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JetBlue Airways Predictive Forecast Models
JetBlue Airways' time-series forecasting models is one of many JetBlue Airways' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JetBlue Airways' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JetBlue Airways
Checking the ongoing alerts about JetBlue Airways for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JetBlue Airways help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JetBlue Airways had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| JetBlue Airways has accumulated 3.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 53.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. JetBlue Airways has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JetBlue Airways until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JetBlue Airways' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JetBlue Airways sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for JetBlue to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JetBlue Airways' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (362 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.06 B. | |
| About 70.0% of JetBlue Airways shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for JetBlue Stock Analysis
When running JetBlue Airways' price analysis, check to measure JetBlue Airways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JetBlue Airways is operating at the current time. Most of JetBlue Airways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JetBlue Airways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JetBlue Airways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JetBlue Airways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.