Classic Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 38.05
| JCVIX Fund | USD 38.05 0.45 1.20% |
Classic |
Classic Value Target Price Odds to finish below 38.05
The tendency of Classic Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 38.05 | 90 days | 38.05 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Classic Value to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Classic Value Fund probability density function shows the probability of Classic Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Classic Value will likely underperform. Additionally Classic Value Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Classic Value Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Classic Value
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Classic Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Classic Value Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Classic Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Classic Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Classic Value Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Classic Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Classic Value Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Classic Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Classic Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 98.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Classic Value Technical Analysis
Classic Value's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Classic Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Classic Value Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Classic Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Classic Value Predictive Forecast Models
Classic Value's time-series forecasting models is one of many Classic Value's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Classic Value's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Classic Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about Classic Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Classic Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 98.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Classic Mutual Fund
Classic Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Classic Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Classic with respect to the benefits of owning Classic Value security.
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