Jde Peets (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.02

JDEP Stock  EUR 18.84  0.06  0.32%   
Jde Peets' future price is the expected price of Jde Peets instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jde Peets Nv performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jde Peets Backtesting, Jde Peets Valuation, Jde Peets Correlation, Jde Peets Hype Analysis, Jde Peets Volatility, Jde Peets History as well as Jde Peets Performance.
  
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Jde Peets Target Price Odds to finish below 19.02

The tendency of Jde Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 19.02  after 90 days
 18.84 90 days 19.02 
about 40.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jde Peets to stay under € 19.02  after 90 days from now is about 40.53 (This Jde Peets Nv probability density function shows the probability of Jde Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jde Peets Nv price to stay between its current price of € 18.84  and € 19.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jde Peets Nv has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jde Peets are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jde Peets Nv is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jde Peets Nv has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jde Peets Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jde Peets

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jde Peets Nv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3218.9021.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8016.3818.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6419.2221.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.7318.8618.98
Details

Jde Peets Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jde Peets is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jde Peets' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jde Peets Nv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jde Peets within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Jde Peets Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jde Peets for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jde Peets Nv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jde Peets Nv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jde Peets Nv has accumulated 5.21 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jde Peets Nv has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jde Peets until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jde Peets' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jde Peets Nv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jde to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jde Peets' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 74.0% of Jde Peets shares are held by company insiders

Jde Peets Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jde Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jde Peets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jde Peets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding502 M

Jde Peets Technical Analysis

Jde Peets' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jde Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jde Peets Nv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jde Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jde Peets Predictive Forecast Models

Jde Peets' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jde Peets' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jde Peets' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jde Peets Nv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jde Peets for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jde Peets Nv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jde Peets Nv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jde Peets Nv has accumulated 5.21 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jde Peets Nv has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jde Peets until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jde Peets' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jde Peets Nv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jde to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jde Peets' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 74.0% of Jde Peets shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Jde Stock Analysis

When running Jde Peets' price analysis, check to measure Jde Peets' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jde Peets is operating at the current time. Most of Jde Peets' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jde Peets' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jde Peets' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jde Peets to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.