Jadroplov (Croatia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.46

JDPL Stock   7.85  0.35  4.27%   
Jadroplov's future price is the expected price of Jadroplov instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jadroplov dd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jadroplov Backtesting, Jadroplov Valuation, Jadroplov Correlation, Jadroplov Hype Analysis, Jadroplov Volatility, Jadroplov History as well as Jadroplov Performance.
  
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Jadroplov Target Price Odds to finish over 7.46

The tendency of Jadroplov Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  7.46  in 90 days
 7.85 90 days 7.46 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jadroplov to stay above  7.46  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Jadroplov dd probability density function shows the probability of Jadroplov Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jadroplov dd price to stay between  7.46  and its current price of 7.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jadroplov dd has a beta of -1.18. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Jadroplov dd are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Jadroplov is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Jadroplov dd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jadroplov Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jadroplov

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jadroplov dd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.968.2010.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.767.009.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.868.1010.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.908.108.30
Details

Jadroplov Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jadroplov is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jadroplov's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jadroplov dd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jadroplov within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0083
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Jadroplov Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jadroplov for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jadroplov dd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jadroplov dd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Jadroplov Technical Analysis

Jadroplov's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jadroplov Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jadroplov dd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jadroplov Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jadroplov Predictive Forecast Models

Jadroplov's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jadroplov's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jadroplov's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jadroplov dd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jadroplov for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jadroplov dd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jadroplov dd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Jadroplov Stock Analysis

When running Jadroplov's price analysis, check to measure Jadroplov's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jadroplov is operating at the current time. Most of Jadroplov's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jadroplov's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jadroplov's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jadroplov to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.