JERONIMO MARTINS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.11
| JEM0 Stock | EUR 36.20 0.20 0.56% |
JERONIMO |
JERONIMO MARTINS Target Price Odds to finish below 34.11
The tendency of JERONIMO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 34.11 or more in 90 days |
| 36.20 | 90 days | 34.11 | about 50.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JERONIMO MARTINS to drop to € 34.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.87 (This JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 probability density function shows the probability of JERONIMO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 price to stay between € 34.11 and its current price of €36.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JERONIMO MARTINS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 has an alpha of 0.1829, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JERONIMO MARTINS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JERONIMO MARTINS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JERONIMO MARTINS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JERONIMO MARTINS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JERONIMO MARTINS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JERONIMO MARTINS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
JERONIMO MARTINS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JERONIMO MARTINS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 has accumulated 2.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.25, which is about average as compared to similar companies. JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JERONIMO MARTINS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JERONIMO MARTINS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for JERONIMO to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JERONIMO MARTINS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
JERONIMO MARTINS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JERONIMO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JERONIMO MARTINS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JERONIMO MARTINS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.29 | |
| Float Shares | 121.71M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.88% |
JERONIMO MARTINS Technical Analysis
JERONIMO MARTINS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JERONIMO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2. In general, you should focus on analyzing JERONIMO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JERONIMO MARTINS Predictive Forecast Models
JERONIMO MARTINS's time-series forecasting models is one of many JERONIMO MARTINS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JERONIMO MARTINS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2
Checking the ongoing alerts about JERONIMO MARTINS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 has accumulated 2.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.25, which is about average as compared to similar companies. JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JERONIMO MARTINS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JERONIMO MARTINS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for JERONIMO to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JERONIMO MARTINS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in JERONIMO Stock
JERONIMO MARTINS financial ratios help investors to determine whether JERONIMO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JERONIMO with respect to the benefits of owning JERONIMO MARTINS security.