Jensen Global Quality Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.93

JGQIX Fund  USD 17.09  0.02  0.12%   
Jensen Global's future price is the expected price of Jensen Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jensen Global Quality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jensen Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jensen Global Correlation, Jensen Global Hype Analysis, Jensen Global Volatility, Jensen Global History as well as Jensen Global Performance.
  
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Jensen Global Target Price Odds to finish below 16.93

The tendency of Jensen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.93  or more in 90 days
 17.09 90 days 16.93 
about 28.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jensen Global to drop to $ 16.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.1 (This Jensen Global Quality probability density function shows the probability of Jensen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jensen Global Quality price to stay between $ 16.93  and its current price of $17.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jensen Global has a beta of 0.64. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jensen Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jensen Global Quality will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jensen Global Quality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jensen Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jensen Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jensen Global Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3517.0917.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3217.0617.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.3017.0417.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.9617.0517.15
Details

Jensen Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jensen Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jensen Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jensen Global Quality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jensen Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Jensen Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jensen Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jensen Global Quality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Jensen Global Technical Analysis

Jensen Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jensen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jensen Global Quality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jensen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jensen Global Predictive Forecast Models

Jensen Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jensen Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jensen Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jensen Global Quality

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jensen Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jensen Global Quality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.43% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Jensen Mutual Fund

Jensen Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jensen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jensen with respect to the benefits of owning Jensen Global security.
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