Jensen Global Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

JGQIX Fund  USD 16.92  0.05  0.29%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jensen Global Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 16.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.77. Jensen Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Jensen Global works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Jensen Global Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jensen Global Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 16.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jensen Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jensen Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jensen Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jensen GlobalJensen Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jensen Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jensen Global's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jensen Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.20 and 17.67, respectively. We have considered Jensen Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.92
16.93
Expected Value
17.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jensen Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jensen Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0184
MADMean absolute deviation0.1147
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors6.7696
When Jensen Global Quality prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Jensen Global Quality trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Jensen Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jensen Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jensen Global Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1816.9217.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1916.9317.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.7916.8916.98
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jensen Global

For every potential investor in Jensen, whether a beginner or expert, Jensen Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jensen Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jensen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jensen Global's price trends.

Jensen Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jensen Global mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jensen Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jensen Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jensen Global Quality Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jensen Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jensen Global's current price.

Jensen Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jensen Global mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jensen Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jensen Global mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Jensen Global Quality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jensen Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jensen Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jensen Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jensen mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jensen Mutual Fund

Jensen Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jensen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jensen with respect to the benefits of owning Jensen Global security.
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences