Jinhua Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.74
| JHC Stock | 0.01 0.01 100.00% |
Jinhua |
Jinhua Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 23.74
The tendency of Jinhua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 23.74 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 23.74 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jinhua Capital to move over 23.74 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Jinhua Capital probability density function shows the probability of Jinhua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jinhua Capital price to stay between its current price of 0.01 and 23.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jinhua Capital has a beta of -3.8. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Jinhua Capital are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Jinhua Capital is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Jinhua Capital has an alpha of 3.3984, implying that it can generate a 3.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jinhua Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jinhua Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jinhua Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jinhua Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jinhua Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jinhua Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jinhua Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jinhua Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Jinhua Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jinhua Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jinhua Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jinhua Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jinhua Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jinhua Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jinhua Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Jinhua Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd shareholders are up 11 percent this past week, but still in the red over the last three years - Simply Wall St |
Jinhua Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jinhua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jinhua Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jinhua Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M |
Jinhua Capital Technical Analysis
Jinhua Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jinhua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jinhua Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jinhua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jinhua Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Jinhua Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jinhua Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jinhua Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jinhua Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jinhua Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jinhua Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jinhua Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jinhua Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jinhua Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jinhua Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Jinhua Capital generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd shareholders are up 11 percent this past week, but still in the red over the last three years - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Jinhua Stock Analysis
When running Jinhua Capital's price analysis, check to measure Jinhua Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jinhua Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Jinhua Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jinhua Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jinhua Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jinhua Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.