Jinhua Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JHC Stock   0.03  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jinhua Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Jinhua Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Jinhua Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jinhua Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jinhua Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jinhua Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jinhua Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Jinhua Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jinhua Capital from the perspective of Jinhua Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jinhua Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Jinhua Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.025  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jinhua Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Jinhua Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jinhua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jinhua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jinhua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Jinhua Capital simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Jinhua Capital are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Jinhua Capital prices get older.

Jinhua Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jinhua Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jinhua Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jinhua Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jinhua Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jinhua CapitalJinhua Capital Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jinhua Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jinhua Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jinhua Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 0.03, respectively. We have considered Jinhua Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.03
Expected Value
0.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jinhua Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jinhua Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Jinhua Capital forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Jinhua Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jinhua Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jinhua Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.030.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.03
Details

Jinhua Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jinhua Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jinhua Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jinhua Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jinhua Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jinhua Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jinhua Capital's historical news coverage. Jinhua Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 0.03, respectively. We have considered Jinhua Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.03
0.03
After-hype Price
0.03
Upside
Jinhua Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jinhua Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jinhua Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jinhua Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jinhua Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jinhua Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.03
0.03
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Jinhua Capital Hype Timeline

Jinhua Capital is currently traded for 0.03on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jinhua is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jinhua Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.24. Jinhua Capital had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 10th of February 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jinhua Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Jinhua Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jinhua Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jinhua Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Jinhua Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jinhua Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Jinhua Capital

For every potential investor in Jinhua, whether a beginner or expert, Jinhua Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jinhua Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jinhua. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jinhua Capital's price trends.

Jinhua Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jinhua Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jinhua Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jinhua Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jinhua Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jinhua Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jinhua Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jinhua Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jinhua Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Jinhua Capital

The number of cover stories for Jinhua Capital depends on current market conditions and Jinhua Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jinhua Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jinhua Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Jinhua Capital Short Properties

Jinhua Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jinhua Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jinhua Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jinhua Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jinhua Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.6 M
Shares Float6.1 M

Additional Tools for Jinhua Stock Analysis

When running Jinhua Capital's price analysis, check to measure Jinhua Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jinhua Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Jinhua Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jinhua Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jinhua Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jinhua Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.